Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000114 0.000120 0.000128 0.000136 0.000145 0.000155
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128 0.000141 0.000157 0.000176
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000101 0.000112 0.000126 0.000144 0.000165 0.000192
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000097 0.000110 0.000127 0.000149 0.000175 0.000213
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000095 0.000110 0.000129 0.000154 0.000188 0.000237
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000091 0.000106 0.000126 0.000154 0.000191 0.000249
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000086 0.000101 0.000122 0.000151 0.000191 0.000254
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000082 0.000098 0.000119 0.000149 0.000192 0.000262
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000114 0.000144 0.000187 0.000260
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000077 0.000092 0.000115 0.000147 0.000195 0.000280
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000076 0.000093 0.000116 0.000152 0.000206 0.000307
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000075 0.000092 0.000117 0.000155 0.000216 0.000332
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000075 0.000093 0.000120 0.000162 0.000231 0.000373
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000073 0.000091 0.000119 0.000163 0.000237 0.000397
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089 0.000117 0.000162 0.000241 0.000417
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000070 0.000089 0.000118 0.000166 0.000252 0.000456
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000070 0.000089 0.000119 0.000171 0.000268 0.000512
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000067 0.000086 0.000117 0.000169 0.000269 0.000530
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000065 0.000083 0.000113 0.000165 0.000263 0.000529
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000063 0.000081 0.000110 0.000162 0.000262 0.000538
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000106 0.000155 0.000251 0.000519
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000077 0.000106 0.000158 0.000262 0.000568
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000108 0.000163 0.000278 0.000642